Cold-Helmet
0x864796112505fa75ef02f302759c3211629bd870
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$405.01
Realised
$194.34
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
900 shares @ 40.6¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$400.50
$35.50
- NO
Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
393 shares @ 71.2¢·now 66.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$259.16
$-20.27
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
293 shares @ 55.6¢·now 62.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$181.43
$18.82
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
200 shares @ 87.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$171.99
$-3.00
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 70.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$143.00
$3.00
- YES
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$129.00
$3.00
- NO
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 57.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$119.99
$6.00
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
972 shares @ 4.5¢·now 9.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$94.33
$50.14
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 6.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$82.50
$14.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$28.32May 18, 01:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$11.14May 16, 12:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$21.34May 15, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.80May 15, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.00May 15, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$14.28May 15, 15:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$4.02May 14, 14:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08May 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$39.66May 13, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.41May 13, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.48May 13, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.02May 13, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$73.85May 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$46.92May 13, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$97.50May 13, 18:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $17.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".