0x864e45e1bb0465235f04dd60bd9c731af943848a
0x864e45e1bb0465235f04dd60bd9c731af943848a
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$507.49
Total PnL
$32.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
73 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$73.30
$3.90
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
72 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$71.50
$4.81
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
63 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$62.90
$3.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
48 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$47.60
$7.62
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
42 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$41.90
$1.91
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?
30 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.48
$0.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$22.20
$2.22
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$21.20
$1.27
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
21 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.80
$0.79
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
21 shares @ 80.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.72
$3.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?$4.90Apr 9, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?$10.05Mar 27, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?$10.50Mar 26, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$9.97Mar 24, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$9.96Mar 24, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$7.57Mar 23, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?$9.97Mar 23, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?$9.96Mar 23, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$10.04Mar 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?$9.96Mar 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$10.04Mar 22, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?$10.05Mar 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$9.99Mar 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.03Mar 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$9.95Mar 21, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$9.99Mar 21, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$9.96Mar 21, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?$9.96Mar 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$9.98Mar 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$9.97Mar 19, 13:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 23:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 18:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".