Sweaty-Sandbar
0x86709c42817ff4433eea4d77eecd5672a655c6c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$139.20
Total PnL
$-85.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
86 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$85.87
$2.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 6?
35 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$34.80
$1.39
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
19 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$18.53
$1.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?
210 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?
201 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?
185 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 31?
143 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 1?
129 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 17?
119 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 6?
114 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$2.37May 14, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 12?$1.28May 11, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 18?$176.87May 2, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?$2.52Apr 25, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 25, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 18?$0.20Apr 18, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 18?$175.08Apr 18, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?$231.44Apr 18, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$17.05Apr 15, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?$226.81Apr 13, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 12?$2.25Apr 12, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 3?$0.00Apr 12, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.60 January 19-25?$0.00Mar 31, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on March 30?$1.94Mar 30, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 2?$0.00Mar 30, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?$214.81Mar 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 27?$213.52Mar 27, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2PM ET$40.90Mar 27, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 24?$202.19Mar 25, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2PM ET$0.10Mar 24, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $39.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".