Experienced-Notebook
0x868df370de693732bd8bbf06d39b0fde99785663
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$114.05
Total PnL
$-2.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
543 shares @ 15.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$114.05
$32.59
- YES
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
125 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
100 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
100 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.70
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
82 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-19.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$7.48Feb 5, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$3.62Feb 5, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$5.64Feb 5, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$7.05Feb 5, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$6.15Feb 5, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$5.82Feb 5, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$7.23Feb 5, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$7.50Feb 5, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$11.10Feb 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$11.03Feb 5, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?$8.85Feb 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$94.30Feb 5, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$91.09Dec 17, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$100.00Dec 17, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$3.38Jun 11, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$2.00Jun 11, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$3.80Jun 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$6.70Jun 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$14.00Jun 11, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$19.68Jun 11, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $23.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".