Unrealistic-Literate
0x86a63c4fdf1c35baad39ced8264d2d082db290a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$20.66
Total PnL
$-188.71
Realised
$-2.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.5¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.27
$5.27
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 15.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.36
$0.36
- YES
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.95
$-1.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
7 shares @ 81.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.08
$-5.92
- SPURS
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
125 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
32 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- LAKERS
Rockets vs. Lakers
27 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.82
- LAKERS
Thunder vs. Lakers
21 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.74
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Pistons
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$5.05May 17, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Cavaliers$15.87May 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$10.11May 16, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-4.5)$6.09May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.06May 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.05May 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$6.05May 13, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$11.75May 13, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-10.5)$6.09May 13, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$11.88May 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$6.09May 11, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$6.15May 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-4.5)$6.08May 10, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Thunder (-8.5)$4.67May 10, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$6.90May 9, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.15May 9, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$6.09May 9, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-8.5)$6.08May 9, 17:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-4.5)$11.11May 9, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$14.29May 9, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $16.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".