Obedient-Rule
0x86c9e67cb0e6b6dba81dc4063ac2ab5df8537638
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$241.49
Total PnL
$-665.66
Realised
$6.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 89.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.71
$4.71
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.72
$3.72
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
31 shares @ 65.4¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.19
$2.19
- NO
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?
23 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.91
$0.56
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.38
$5.38
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.82
$0.82
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
38 shares @ 26.4¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.41
$-0.59
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$8.33
$3.33
- NO
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.97
$-0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$1.04May 9, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00May 9, 05:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$15.36May 7, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$5.10May 7, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$26.17May 7, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$25.86May 7, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$103.46May 7, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$99.20May 7, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$103.52May 7, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$104.97May 7, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$104.62May 7, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$132.74May 7, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$103.71May 7, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.41May 7, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $50.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".