Rich-Realization
0x86dfad603d226c2228d2f8e1e685fc51b341f4cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$51.23
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-136.69
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
275 shares @ 12.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.98
$-2.30
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 16.8¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.25
$1.45
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?
7345 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-182.77
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6?
878 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-170.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?
600 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-340.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
447 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-92.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
300 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-164.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
300 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-59.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
169 shares @ 33.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-56.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$56.70May 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$59.81May 14, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.85May 14, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.22May 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.04May 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.68May 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$50.85May 14, 11:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.43May 13, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.35May 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.05May 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.35May 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.35May 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.10May 13, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.91May 13, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$0.98May 13, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $14.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".