Starry-Modernist
0x86e5384ec841e42d9bc0ac88791088f002b5bf21
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$460.51
Total PnL
$-375.31
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
110 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.97
$2.18
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
115 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.63
$-0.57
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$29.93
$0.01
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
30 shares @ 92.7¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$27.07
$-0.73
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 80.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.65
$-1.35
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
20 shares @ 78.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.35
$3.65
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.33
$1.13
- NO
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 94.6¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.97
$0.05
- NO
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.90
$2.50
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
20 shares @ 91.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.57
$0.19
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 17?$14.80May 17, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$19.40May 17, 07:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$28.62May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$16.40May 16, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$14.80May 16, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?$20.00May 16, 01:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14?$20.00May 15, 00:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 15?$17.40May 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27.81May 14, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.51May 14, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$24.12May 14, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$9.00May 14, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19.66May 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$16.60May 14, 01:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 14?$14.60May 13, 20:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 08:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".