Lustrous-Force
0x86e5be151036faacacda2344635958a7eef2df24
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$36.21
Total PnL
$-317.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- $80K
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
12 shares @ 42.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.75
$6.75
- NO
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 47.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$5.90
$4.90
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.88
$4.88
- NO
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$5.00
$4.00
- YES
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.45
$-0.55
- YES
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$1.18Mar 15, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$7.83Mar 14, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$9.04Mar 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.00Mar 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1PM ET$5.00Mar 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$5.00Mar 13, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$7.38Mar 13, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$12.43Mar 13, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D$1.00Mar 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: K27 vs WW Team (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs$1.00Mar 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage$1.00Mar 12, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMUTEP Miners vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks (W)$1.18Mar 12, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Paper Rex vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs$1.32Mar 12, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: K27 vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs$1.39Mar 12, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMSyracuse Orange vs. SMU Mustangs$1.49Mar 12, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMPhoenix: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex Bolt$1.56Mar 12, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMOregon State Beavers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (W)$1.69Mar 12, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$9.38Mar 12, 20:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".