Rotating-Deathwatch
0x86eb1343ce524c648d250bfdcec5da0cd1c15864
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$729.91
Total PnL
$-530.60
Realised
$-2.69
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Blue wave in 2026?
240 shares @ 25.9¢·now 25.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$60.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
86 shares @ 83.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$52.03
$-19.35
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 in May?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$48.48
$9.47
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$39.25
$7.25
- NO
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?
40 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.18
$3.78
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
40 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.16
$8.36
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
40 shares @ 66.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.00
$3.60
- YES
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 73.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$29.50
$-7.00
- YES
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$28.50
$-4.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
80 shares @ 42.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.80
$-6.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?$20.00May 13, 16:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.22May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$26.40May 11, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?$34.40May 11, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.53May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 in May?$39.00May 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?$5.20May 10, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?$1.0KMay 10, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$21.20May 10, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$28.80May 10, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 11?$4.02May 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 11?$11.00May 10, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $41.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 02:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".