Accomplished-Exaggeration
0x8712a48bc44beee8c9ed11bffabef1b79debd11c
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$279.82
Total PnL
$-9.61
Realised
$-11.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$127.50
$27.50
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 66.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$73.50
$7.50
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$72.50
$-27.50
- YES
Will Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 78.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.32
$-5.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.00May 12, 11:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$11.26May 7, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$4.62May 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?$6.83May 7, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Plasma reach $0.24 by December 31, 2026?$1.05May 7, 07:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $26.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".