Damp-Alliance
0x8745951fd01c174c1a399034edc0016279b84805
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-722.23
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
1067 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.1K
$202.73
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
595 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$595.00
$6.54
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
533 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$533.00
$255.84
- NO
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
787 shares @ 80.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$440.72
$-188.88
- BELLARMINE KNIGHTS
Bellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies
789 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$394.50
$0.00
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
313 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$307.84
$41.79
- NO
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
306 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$306.00
$39.78
- YES
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
83 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$83.00
$34.03
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 70.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.60
$-19.80
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
36 shares @ 79.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$26.46
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies$0.50Apr 24, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies$388.50Apr 24, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBellarmine Knights vs. Northern Illinois Huskies$5.50Apr 24, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$864.27Apr 23, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$34.31Apr 11, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$309.75Apr 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$47.25Apr 11, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$316.00Apr 11, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$12.42Apr 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$0.81Apr 11, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$8.03Apr 11, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$283.92Apr 11, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$19.55Apr 11, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$465.36Apr 11, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?$40.42Apr 11, 04:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$308.25Apr 11, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$347.48Apr 11, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?$768.60Apr 11, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLFed emergency rate cut before 2027?$234.03Apr 9, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMilitary action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?$18.58Apr 9, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $217.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 04:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".