0x878440589d4273f5f98044c975b4eaf86dce0a9b
0x878440589d4273f5f98044c975b4eaf86dce0a9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$211.59
Total PnL
$-1.11
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 8.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$100.79
$92.73
- LAURA SIEGEMUND
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek
45 shares @ 51.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$45.00
$21.90
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
6987 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$20.96
$-4.02
- NO
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 20.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.27
$8.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?
7153 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.73
$-11.26
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.97
$0.22
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.40
$3.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on April 25?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$4.92
$1.48
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$1.96
$1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
1062 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.59
$-3.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek$7.46May 6, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek$7.65May 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek$1.79May 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek$0.91May 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek$2.70May 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek$2.70May 6, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$0.75May 6, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$4.90May 6, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$6.45May 6, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$6.90May 6, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$3.30May 6, 00:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers$24.73Apr 27, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJurij Rodionov vs. Darwin Blanch: Total Sets O/U 2.5$19.21Apr 27, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJurij Rodionov vs. Darwin Blanch: Total Sets O/U 2.5$0.17Apr 27, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJurij Rodionov vs. Darwin Blanch: Total Sets O/U 2.5$2.88Apr 27, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJurij Rodionov vs. Darwin Blanch: Total Sets O/U 2.5$2.73Apr 27, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers$25.01Apr 27, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGame Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)$23.32Apr 27, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$4.08Apr 27, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$0.66Apr 27, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 06:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 14:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".