Daring-Hermit
0x87a27b8c5f85df92507af16ba2cef2c6638faf52
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$113.47
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2400 shares @ 58.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.2K
$820.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2400 shares @ 52.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$552.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
400 shares @ 77.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$370.00
$61.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3960 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$203.94
$-8.47
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
234 shares @ 71.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$199.93
$33.91
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
273 shares @ 51.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$195.19
$55.97
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
260 shares @ 64.0¢·now 72.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$188.24
$21.84
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
253 shares @ 25.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$185.95
$120.38
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
200 shares @ 76.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$179.00
$27.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
324 shares @ 44.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$160.38
$17.82
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$34.93May 17, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$790.00May 17, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.58May 17, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$7.47May 17, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$7.27May 17, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$0.62May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$1.50May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$4.29May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$4.29May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$3.90May 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$3.76May 17, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?$5.12May 17, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$10.77May 17, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$15.14May 17, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$21.00May 17, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$14.34May 17, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$13.76May 17, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$9.81May 17, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 17?$12.78May 17, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $27.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 05:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".