Identical-Circumference
0x87e7fcee78e26dce7d9604d73a1c24110641d0b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$135.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
6383 shares @ 19.5¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$159.23
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
308 shares @ 22.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$81.55
$12.17
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
145 shares @ 48.8¢·now 55.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$79.71
$9.00
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
102 shares @ 41.4¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.87
$-24.39
- YES
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
76 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.98
$-1.90
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
127 shares @ 17.3¢·now 5.8¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$7.35
$-14.55
- YES
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
20 shares @ 10.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.10
$-0.03
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
32 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.75
$-1.52
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$35.38May 5, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$65.16May 5, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$13.15Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$6.31Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$56.32Apr 21, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$14.40Apr 21, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$8.64Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$5.62Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$6.11Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.36Apr 21, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$18.88Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$3.39Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$46.80Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$246.45Apr 21, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.44Apr 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$6.75Apr 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$13.48Apr 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$3.38Apr 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$13.80Apr 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$11.73Apr 13, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $28.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 11:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".