Orderly-Urge
0x87ef64cc61421e9852a97b00d5adec7f342099cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$65.03
Total PnL
$-60.26
Realised
$33.52
Win rate
100%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mamadu Iaia Djaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
938 shares @ 0.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$49.71
$48.77
- YES
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
988 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$7.41
$6.42
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
712 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.07
$0.20
- YES
Will Jared Golden be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.70
- YES
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.70
- YES
Will Dan Kleban be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.70
- YES
Will Troy Jackson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
1400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.70
- YES
Will Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
690 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.69
$0.00
- YES
Will Evanilson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1227 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.61
$-0.61
- YES
Will Kai Havertz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Riggle win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill “Marines” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 18 2025)$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Jets win the AFC Championship?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Freiburg win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikita Chibrikov win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the California redistricting referendum pass by <26%?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Metz win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats win no elections in Nov?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Angers win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $4.00–4.25 in October?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 November 10-16?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Félix González come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Terrie Christie win TN-7 Special Election?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Samuel Honzek win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sassuolo win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Altman be the #2 searched person on Google this year?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill ACRM win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$0.00May 17, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".