Constant-Cayenne
0x87fd780c51dce2b68a12c7947fc6d8b3aefe66bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-742.59
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
1174 shares @ 56.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$821.80
$164.36
- UTAH STATE AGGIES
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies
1207 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$603.50
$12.07
- NO
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
707 shares @ 56.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$311.08
$-84.84
- NO
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
507 shares @ 25.8¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$178.46
$47.66
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
84 shares @ 86.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$83.37
$11.05
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
244 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.94
$3.66
- NO
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-04-17?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$10.00
$2.60
- UNDER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
912 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-173.28
- SIDEMEN FC
Sidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner
908 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-472.16
- UNDER
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
668 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-267.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5$173.28Apr 24, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$657.44Apr 24, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$109.98Apr 21, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$22.44Apr 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$6.08Apr 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$192.20Apr 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$172.66Apr 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$236.28Apr 13, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$29.10Apr 13, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWaymo IPO before 2027?$401.94Apr 13, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score$85.33Apr 13, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score$352.45Apr 13, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWaymo IPO before 2027?$401.94Apr 13, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$27.16Apr 13, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$178.09Apr 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$214.80Apr 13, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$130.81Apr 13, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner$472.16Apr 13, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score$437.78Apr 13, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$190.80Apr 12, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $244.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 04:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".