Gracious-Astrolabe
0x881d2903034ecdda32c5121ad0a7882a9b9ba7d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.50
Total PnL
$-87.88
Realised
$-0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
68 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.81
$0.34
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
28 shares @ 26.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.27
$0.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
7 shares @ 21.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.36
$-0.10
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
23 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.73
$-1.82
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.24
$-0.01
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
2 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.08
$-0.20
- YES
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before April?
576 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.12
- YES
Will USD0++ dip below $0.50 before February?
116 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
83 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.54
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?
73 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?$0.06Mar 19, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$0.90Mar 18, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$1.65Mar 18, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$7.54Mar 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?$0.25Mar 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?$7.13Mar 18, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$0.28Mar 18, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$7.01Mar 18, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$7.19Mar 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?$7.47Mar 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?$7.27Mar 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?$0.94Mar 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.40Mar 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?$4.06Mar 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?$3.52Mar 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?$3.52Mar 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1.17Mar 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?$7.27Mar 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1.47Mar 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$1.50Mar 18, 07:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".