Aromatic-Cupcake
0x8820e14904487b306c8724f7b93fc5294e5e5497
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$268.75
Total PnL
$-37.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
625 shares @ 48.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$268.75
$-31.25
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?$221.53Mar 18, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?$78.46Mar 17, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$438.22Jan 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$438.67Jan 10, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$438.67Jan 10, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$439.12Jan 10, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$439.12Jan 10, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$439.56Jan 10, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$439.56Jan 10, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$440.00Jan 10, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$440.00Jan 10, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$440.44Jan 10, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$440.45Jan 10, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$440.89Jan 10, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$440.88Jan 10, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?$441.33Jan 10, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$2.13Jan 10, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$29.41Jan 10, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$409.80Dec 8, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$410.21Dec 8, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $225.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 03:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 04:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".