Sardonic-Lentil
0x88c4919de76e526d55a32c1f8afb439dd1f1129a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$771.7K
Total PnL
$-164.1K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
959143 shares @ 72.1¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$666.5K
$-25.1K
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
92212 shares @ 57.9¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$26.7K
$-26.7K
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
40188 shares @ 79.7¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.3K
$-6.7K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
17035 shares @ 78.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.1K
$1.8K
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
14023 shares @ 87.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.3K
$-911.49
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
11694 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$10.1K
$-409.31
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
7159 shares @ 67.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.8K
$956.44
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
6876 shares @ 72.7¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.1K
$-908.77
- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
2091 shares @ 84.8¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$194.89
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
2137 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$106.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$525.00May 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$10.0KMay 17, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$60.00May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.0KMay 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1000.00May 17, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$14.6KMay 17, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$841.00May 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$158.00May 17, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$998.95May 17, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$44.00May 17, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.0KMay 17, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$5.0KMay 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$3.6KMay 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$335.00May 17, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$4.0KMay 17, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$200.63May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$6.0KMay 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.0KMay 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$687.79May 16, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$200.50May 16, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".