Frail-Gossip
0x88e85ad656be34535c33481d303b00bd0704d208
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$55.09
Total PnL
$-367.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
400 shares @ 35.9¢·now 9.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$36.60
$-107.12
- YES
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1479 shares @ 13.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$18.49
$-180.51
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
133 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$7.56Mar 17, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$18.36Mar 17, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$27.00Mar 17, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$21.24Mar 17, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$5.76Mar 17, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$27.00Mar 17, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$36.80Mar 17, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?$199.00Mar 17, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$661.73Jul 20, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$500.51Jul 3, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$51.35Jul 3, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$24.80Jul 3, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jul 3, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$517.92Jul 1, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$400.00Jun 26, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-EU trade agreement by July 9?$300.00Jun 26, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$100.00Jun 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk create a new political party in June?$833.68Jun 6, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk create a new political party in June?$12.14Jun 6, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump end Department of Education in 2025?$667.56Jun 5, 22:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $233.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".