Decisive-Rationale
0x89031743f7ccd37d52bf43cdc3ddedc755f10dc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$76.62
Total PnL
$72.85
Realised
$117.82
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
250 shares @ 10.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?
4885 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$21.98
$-14.54
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
987 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$8.39
$-2.07
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$0.75
- YES
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
875 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$0.44
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
679 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.06
$-8.31
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
230 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.65
$-1.97
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.50
$-0.10
- YES
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
547 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.91
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$2.51May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.09May 18, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.85May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.18May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$2.77May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?$3.17May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.06May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?$0.10May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?$0.73May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$2.99May 18, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.98May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.15May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$1.57May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.07May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.48May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?$0.12May 17, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00May 17, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.82May 17, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.20May 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.11May 17, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".