Calculating-Vignette
0x8931e667b37da01f1574c8f1b1e2a00a3f61a5e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$469.37
Total PnL
$-228.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on May 18?
145 shares @ 84.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$129.32
$6.26
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 18?
115 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$113.43
$-0.45
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 18?
81 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$80.80
$1.00
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $410 on May 18?
54 shares @ 97.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$52.73
$0.13
- YES
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?
50 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$48.48
$-0.52
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 18?
21 shares @ 98.9¢·now 96.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$20.05
$-0.59
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 18?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$14.85
$0.30
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 18?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.88
$-0.07
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 18?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$4.84
$-0.11
- NO
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
223 shares @ 94.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-210.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $640 on May 18?$38.30May 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $640 on May 18?$85.51May 17, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $410 on May 18?$37.27May 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close above $410 on May 18?$15.37May 17, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on May 18?$20.65May 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on May 18?$14.59May 17, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 18?$113.93May 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?$49.04May 17, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 18?$79.85May 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 18?$4.95May 17, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 18?$4.95May 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$15.92May 17, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$50.00May 17, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$56.87May 17, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$113.00May 17, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$150.00May 17, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$39.60May 16, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$60.77May 16, 08:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $59.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".