Nocturnal-Picture
0x8941189cc3ad37e8bbbdbac8f2191588c6f07e59
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.13
Total PnL
$-1.45
Realised
$-0.50
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$5.40
$0.04
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.75
$0.01
- NO
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.62
$0.37
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.22
$-0.00
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.13
$-0.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
2 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.83Apr 26, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$219.56Apr 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$101.90Apr 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$79.92Apr 22, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$63.81Apr 22, 08:56 UTC
- REWARD$2.00Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.35Apr 19, 16:41 UTC
- REWARD$1.05Apr 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chung Jin-suk win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$80.00Apr 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sung Il-jong win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$102.00Apr 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$65.00Apr 18, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$221.00Apr 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$207.77Apr 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?$213.00Apr 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$31.80Apr 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?$30.28Apr 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$249.00Apr 17, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$244.02Apr 17, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$249.84Apr 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$251.00Apr 16, 14:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $105.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".