Vapid-Lunge
0x898ac9273970f50bd986023b2c156d96353616a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$645.31
Total PnL
$-330.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
322 shares @ 72.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$243.37
$11.39
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
657 shares @ 88.0¢·now 35.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.98
$-343.25
- NO
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
109 shares @ 80.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.51
$0.04
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
32 shares @ 71.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$31.55
$8.35
- NO
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.66
$0.66
- NO
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
20 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.20
$-0.20
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$8.25
$-0.35
- YES
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-7.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.13Apr 16, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 23 above $265?$0.00Apr 16, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?$0.00Apr 16, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of February?$0.00Apr 16, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.89Apr 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.27Apr 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$20.25Apr 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$23.70Apr 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BP be acquired before 2027?$20.00Apr 7, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?$20.00Apr 7, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BP be acquired before 2027?$40.00Apr 7, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$30.00Apr 7, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$19.00Apr 7, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$26.51Apr 7, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?$67.00Apr 7, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?$6.96Mar 2, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA dip to $192 in March?$59.64Mar 2, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 23 above $205?$5.48Mar 2, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon reach $268 in February?$10.00Mar 2, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $19.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".