Tremendous-Test
0x89961f6c262824bf40fb10287a9d0789b7d99c76
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$64.90
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
1217 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.2K
$316.42
- NO
Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?
940 shares @ 78.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$940.00
$199.28
- NO
Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?
129 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$128.60
$65.59
- YES
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
551 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.63
$-33.06
- NO
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?
39 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$39.00
$8.19
- YES
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 1.5¢·now 29.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.65
$17.70
- NO
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
18 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.23
$-0.09
- OPENAI
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
538 shares @ 15.1¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.88
$-72.36
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.17
$0.02
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$0.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$19.47Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$470.37Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$122.09Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?$104.69Apr 24, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$900.58Apr 24, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$562.30Apr 23, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?$11.23Apr 23, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$740.72Apr 23, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?$39.27Apr 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$253.20Apr 21, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$47.40Apr 21, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$49.96Apr 21, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?$39.44Apr 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$17.38Apr 21, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$748.22Apr 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$724.05Apr 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?$261.80Apr 21, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$479.53Apr 13, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?$28.56Apr 13, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Belgrano vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?$47.36Apr 13, 09:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $283.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".