Tall-Dragonfruit
0x899cb6ed3b50684bd188f7c17745479ed3aad868
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$95.30
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-8.80
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$38.75
$-0.25
- YES
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?
73 shares @ 9.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$24.34
$17.80
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.25
$0.25
- YES
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
400 shares @ 18.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.80
$-66.20
- NO
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
73 shares @ 38.2¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.65
$-24.26
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 63.4¢·now 68.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.42
$0.25
- NO
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.29
$0.12
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
40 shares @ 41.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.20
$-14.40
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
20 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.10
$-1.30
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.43
$-0.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$4.02May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.38May 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$0.60May 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$39.00May 18, 08:20 UTC
- REWARD$4.09May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?$23.50May 11, 13:37 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$49.99May 11, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$33.45May 11, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?$23.50May 11, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$16.20May 11, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$3.40May 11, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$170.00May 11, 02:24 UTC
- REWARD$4.77May 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$8.50May 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$81.00May 6, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 6?$3.00May 6, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$41.00May 6, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$41.50May 6, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$8.50May 6, 05:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.32Apr 28, 01:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".