0x89d133ed5733b73ebe51d4844febbd36912b7576
0x89d133ed5733b73ebe51d4844febbd36912b7576
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.68
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-233.84
Win rate
3%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be less than 80?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.45
$-29.55
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 90 and 95?
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.39
$-9.61
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
60 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.36
$-8.21
- YES
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
60 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.21
$-8.36
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 95 and 100?
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.15
$-9.85
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be at least 100?
60 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.12
$-9.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on May 13?
181 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-90.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 13?
139 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 13?
135 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 38°C or higher on May 15?
133 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-12.05
Recent activity
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Austin on May 20?$60.00May 18, 05:13 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on May 20?$60.00May 18, 05:13 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Ankara on May 20?$60.00May 18, 04:43 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or below on May 20?$60.00May 18, 04:43 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 20?$60.00May 18, 04:43 UTC
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 11°C or below on May 20?$60.00May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 19?$5.79May 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$7.41May 18, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.96May 18, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 19?$1.10May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 19?$1.14May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on May 19?$1.00May 18, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 19?$2.00May 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 19?$0.31May 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 19?$1.98May 18, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on May 19?$2.82May 18, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 19?$2.00May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on May 19?$2.60May 18, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 19?$1.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on May 19?$1.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".