Noteworthy-Wedding
0x8a14daee56d78d60c40578eec5a43f411394fab6
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$101.11
Total PnL
$-20.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
35 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.78
$3.78
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
26 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
16 shares @ 92.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.77
$-8.23
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 87.7¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$3.45
$-0.47
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 87.7¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$3.36
$-0.32
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$-14.60
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 18.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.74
$-0.25
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
3 shares @ 94.0¢·now 87.9¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$2.56
$-0.18
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.03
- NO
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?$17.86May 17, 17:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant$0.00May 12, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noah Ostlund win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$2.49May 12, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMLuca Van Assche vs. Dusan Lajovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5$3.82May 12, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMAssche vs. Lajovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$8.43May 12, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$15.54May 12, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant$0.00May 12, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Levi Merilainen win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$2.49May 12, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joakim Kemell win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$2.49May 12, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesper Wallstedt win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?$2.50May 12, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMLuca Van Assche vs. Dusan Lajovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5$0.00May 12, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMAssche vs. Lajovic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$0.00May 12, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by April 30?$0.00May 12, 11:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".