Tinted-Sock
0x8a17fe2942f4bc45269961228fc65535ce1e2560
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-500.27
Realised
$-43.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1054 shares @ 75.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$911.72
$111.72
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1344 shares @ 62.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$786.16
$-54.55
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
737 shares @ 81.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$644.58
$44.58
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
387 shares @ 76.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$387.31
$90.10
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
306 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$305.81
$5.81
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
414 shares @ 72.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$283.41
$-16.59
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
279 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$278.56
$80.88
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
488 shares @ 41.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$226.83
$26.83
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
515 shares @ 39.3¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$224.06
$21.64
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
461 shares @ 43.3¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$205.32
$5.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$303.31May 13, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$0.00May 11, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$101.60May 11, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$118.15May 3, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$102.36Apr 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$102.36Apr 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$540.81Apr 30, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.00Apr 26, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$100.00Apr 26, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$100.00Apr 26, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$100.00Apr 23, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$200.00Apr 23, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$619.55Apr 23, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$200.00Apr 23, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$39.36Apr 23, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 22, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$100.00Apr 19, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$184.41Apr 19, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$300.00Apr 19, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $157.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".