Elementary-Exaggeration
0x8a2604eae8b96c12de3248f3cb1df46768ec3754
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$25.45
Total PnL
$-110.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Paris Gentle Mates finish in the top 4 of the CDL Regular Season?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.92
$-2.80
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2 shares @ 93.9¢·now 86.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.84
$-0.16
- PENAROL
Penarol vs. Ferro Carril Oeste
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$1.13
$-0.86
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
1 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $110 May 11-17?$5.00May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$4.74May 17, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$12.03May 17, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.00May 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$4.58May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.61May 17, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.58May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$4.64May 17, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00May 17, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.00May 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.77May 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.61May 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$4.72May 17, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.77May 17, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 4.5$5.00May 17, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMStarCraft II: SHIN vs Maru - Map 3 Winner$7.12May 17, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$5.00May 17, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - May 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$5.11May 17, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.17May 17, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.64May 17, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".