Sticky-Comment
0x8a482e9ceb607197ffe971cfdd781c1a081308c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$273.25
Realised
$17.39
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
617 shares @ 50.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$422.40
$114.08
- NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
320 shares @ 55.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$304.23
$128.21
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
370 shares @ 51.1¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$296.04
$106.79
- NO
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
148 shares @ 59.6¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.53
$46.40
- NO
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
105 shares @ 40.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$92.49
$49.90
- NO
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
104 shares @ 54.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.56
$22.96
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 56.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$76.96
$20.64
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
40 shares @ 57.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.95
$14.41
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
34 shares @ 55.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.77
$11.88
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
39 shares @ 50.0¢·now 54.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.39
$1.89
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.02May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$4.09May 17, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.26May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.56May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$57.60May 14, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$60.00May 14, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$16.99May 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$17.43May 14, 03:41 UTC
- REWARD$2.12May 14, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.16May 13, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$2.02May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$151.70May 11, 03:38 UTC
- REWARD$3.98May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$960.19May 10, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$159.90May 10, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$972.66May 10, 17:56 UTC
- REWARD$4.31May 10, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$4.23May 9, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$7.72May 8, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.00May 7, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $417.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".