Cheerful-Visit
0x8a4e8f6e20b99ae0b05caf1237aeabe184831ba4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.8K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
7628 shares @ 39.3¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.2K
$165.72
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1944 shares @ 51.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$881.76
- YES
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
9172 shares @ 65.7¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$-4.7K
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
2653 shares @ 75.4¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-766.50
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3097 shares @ 32.3¢·now 31.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$969.25
$-30.75
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3061 shares @ 49.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$811.22
$-688.77
- YES
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
1515 shares @ 66.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$765.15
$-234.85
- YES
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
2674 shares @ 37.4¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$641.69
$-358.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$577.65May 16, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.0KMay 12, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.0KMay 11, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$25.31May 11, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 11, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.0KMay 11, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.0KMay 11, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$1.0KMay 11, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$512.37May 10, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$512.66May 10, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$1.0KMay 10, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$40.0KMay 9, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$1.3KMay 9, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?$1.3KMay 9, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$1.3KMay 9, 04:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 20:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 05:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".