Candid-Petal
0x8a4ec9c5684b23599bb1dd827b8a5673c2fab38c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$346.19
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$61.34
Win rate
39%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Trump say "Nuke" in May?
224 shares @ 29.2¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$117.46
$52.02
- NO
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?
102 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$101.97
$45.89
- YES
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?
80 shares @ 26.2¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$54.43
$33.44
- YES
Will Trump say "Comrade" this week?
70 shares @ 50.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$30.19
$-4.91
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$16.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$14.24
$-5.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
100 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.85
$-1.85
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
100 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.30
$-26.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.75May 18, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Sleepy Joe" on Truth Social this week?$21.20May 18, 01:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.06May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?$11.90May 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/18-5/24)$20.00May 17, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Epstein" this week?$1.50May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ant Middleton summit Everest in more than 6 days?$13.34May 17, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?$15.00May 17, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?$1.00May 17, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Gold" or "Golden" on Truth Social this week?$1.00May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Restaurant" this week?$5.38May 17, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Space" or "Moon" this week?$13.26May 17, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Camera" this week?$6.41May 17, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Chair" on Truth Social this week?$1.13May 17, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?$40.00May 17, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ant Middleton summit Everest in more than 6 days?$1.65May 17, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Chair" on Truth Social this week?$11.28May 17, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Cuba" on Truth Social this week?$3.04May 17, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" this week?$4.30May 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stupid person" this week?$9.29May 17, 06:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 04:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".