Sardonic-Cue
0x8a7b576b7a53ef54876f9eca18bcd84f12d8782f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$37.2K
Total PnL
$2.8K
Realised
$2.8K
Win rate
91%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.5K
$5.0K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
4500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.1K
$22.50
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.5K
$-5.0K
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
2420 shares @ 86.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.3K
$147.98
- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
1644 shares @ 75.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$32.68
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?
1245 shares @ 90.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$32.37
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
1186 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$0.00
- NO
Trump out as President by May 31?
1000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$996.50
$5.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$977.50
$-0.50
- NO
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
1019 shares @ 75.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$911.79
$141.72
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.56May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.19May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.01May 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.92May 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.68May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$0.03May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?$5.90May 18, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$122.36May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$200.40May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$88.31May 18, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$227.88May 18, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $34.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".