Fumbling-Bargain
0x8adeaec0458c1fd2cfe929d153df52dfca4c1c09
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$665.47
Total PnL
$-645.32
Realised
$0.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
202 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$200.68
$0.68
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
207 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$198.63
$-1.37
- NO
Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
135 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$133.96
$-1.08
- NO
Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
98 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$97.47
$-0.36
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1878 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.74
$-3.26
- NO
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
631 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-630.37
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
427 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$100.96May 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$200.00May 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$200.10May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$135.06May 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 20-24 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$97.84May 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$100.05May 17, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$204.28May 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$134.08May 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.7KMay 15, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.49May 15, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.84May 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.7KMay 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$456.37May 14, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$249.65May 14, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$200.41May 14, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$24.51May 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$200.14May 13, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$100.16May 13, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$501.00May 12, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 45-49 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$84.94May 12, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $410.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".