Possible-Perpendicular
0x8ae4c80b281c2e65796e10c406dd86952224273e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
190
Open notional
$259.10
Total PnL
$97.52
Realised
$1.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 190- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
101 shares @ 0.8¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.76
$17.98
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
101 shares @ 0.8¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.75
$15.96
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
101 shares @ 0.8¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.98
$13.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?
110 shares @ 1.5¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.54
$10.85
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?
110 shares @ 1.5¢·now 10.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.93
$10.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?
110 shares @ 1.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.55
$9.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
110 shares @ 1.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.94
$9.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?
110 shares @ 1.5¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$9.84
$8.15
- YES
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
10 shares @ 12.5¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.49
$8.24
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026?
110 shares @ 1.5¢·now 6.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.04
$5.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$10.00May 18, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$10.81May 18, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$2.82May 18, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$2.03May 18, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$1.69May 18, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$1.75May 18, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.61May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$2.00May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.03May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels$2.00May 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$2.02May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies$1.01May 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox$1.01May 17, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$11.63May 17, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 major space weather events this week?$10.00May 17, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$5.00May 17, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in May 2026?$0.11May 17, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$2.08May 17, 02:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".