Rundown-Inauguration
0x8af47ef71695fb18a44f8d324cfd4ba539d696ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$16.20
Total PnL
$-23.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 1?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$5.26
$0.26
- YES
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$4.33
$1.82
- YES
Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 78.8¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$3.94
$1.44
- YES
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.67
$0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 5?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on April 5?
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on April 5?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 5?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 7?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C or below on April 2?
95 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?$4.54May 5, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?$5.00May 5, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 1?$1.85May 1, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 1?$3.14May 1, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?$3.87May 1, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?$3.96May 1, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?$5.00May 1, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?$5.00May 1, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?$4.11May 1, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 1?$5.00May 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?$4.32Apr 30, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?$5.02Apr 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$4.92Apr 29, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 25?$9.26Apr 28, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 25?$5.00Apr 25, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?$3.99Apr 25, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?$5.00Apr 25, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 24?$5.56Apr 25, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 24?$5.00Apr 23, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 24?$4.57Apr 23, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".