Several-Model
0x8afbe0620e2e2007c680b28b12250531d4ca7f1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
14666 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$740.65
$-125.63
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
10712 shares @ 7.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$540.95
$-259.97
- YES
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
7244 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-774.31
- YES
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
7069 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-675.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
5871 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-61.60
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?
5119 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-403.48
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
2285 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-110.80
- YES
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?
2000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1670 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?$800.92Mar 2, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$143.00Mar 2, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$153.30Feb 2, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$145.42Feb 2, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$570.00Dec 22, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?$61.60Dec 11, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$295.84Dec 8, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$0.22Dec 8, 01:05 UTC
- REWARD$2.85Dec 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$2.00Dec 7, 12:42 UTC
- REWARD$1.43Dec 7, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?$0.00Dec 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Dec 6, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?$0.00Dec 6, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$1.94Dec 6, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?$43.07Dec 6, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$341.33Oct 9, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$675.97Sep 3, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?$58.13Aug 17, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$200.36Aug 8, 17:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $198.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".