Unruly-Lake
0x8b02f8893114c9c7c079ed90e003c1d89f9aa23b
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-229.61
Realised
$-175.64
Win rate
19%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
846 shares @ 26.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$587.89
$367.93
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
415 shares @ 61.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$415.00
$158.53
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
266 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$266.00
$234.08
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?
207 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$207.00
$151.11
- NO
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
124 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$124.02
$47.13
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
38 shares @ 72.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$24.13
$-3.31
- NO
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
24 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$24.00
$3.60
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
22 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.91
$0.48
- NO
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.18
$1.40
- NO
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$3.97
$2.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?$11.56Apr 21, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$4.40Apr 21, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$4.40Apr 21, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?$0.10Feb 8, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$4.35Feb 8, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026?$49.80Feb 8, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$9.75Feb 8, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$31.79Feb 8, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMOver $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?$15.00Jan 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$109.55Jan 11, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$2.10Jan 11, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$172.05Jan 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?$6.25Jan 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.95Jan 11, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?$69.16Jan 10, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?$89.32Jan 10, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?$36.45Jan 10, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?$172.26Jan 10, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?$10.46Jan 10, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$113.19Jan 10, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $92.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".