Jagged-Palm
0x8b226fa5c9a6ab62d8c8b190068b5a6081be47a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$753.23
Total PnL
$-181.54
Realised
$34.10
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
253 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$244.80
$13.69
- YES
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
981 shares @ 16.8¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.07
$36.02
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
104 shares @ 71.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.64
$13.56
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 51.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$62.00
$-145.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 56.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.00
$-24.00
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
422 shares @ 13.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.83
$-20.23
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
100 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
200 shares @ 3.6¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.90
$0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$34.00May 15, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$84.00May 12, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$6.54May 5, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$25.00May 5, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$0.70May 5, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$2.52May 4, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$7.20May 4, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$0.81May 4, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$0.16May 4, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$3.26May 4, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$13.61May 4, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$4.39May 4, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$25.00May 4, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$114.99May 4, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$300.00May 4, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$88.60Apr 23, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$11.44Apr 23, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$6.30Apr 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$15.00Apr 22, 12:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $23.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".