Punctual-Hydrogen
0x8b4410e877fa826c7e986dfb30a5be73d72163fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$635.88
Win rate
58%
110 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
969 shares @ 65.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$615.43
$-15.74
- NO
Will AD+PD win the third-most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?
320 shares @ 40.6¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$171.08
$41.40
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
364 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$161.81
$1.82
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?
717 shares @ 16.6¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$154.16
$35.25
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
303 shares @ 43.8¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$143.84
$11.36
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1105 shares @ 17.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$138.08
$-53.00
- YES
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
424 shares @ 33.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$135.74
$-4.24
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
575 shares @ 26.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$135.11
$-18.50
- NO
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$132.35
$32.35
- YES
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?
259 shares @ 4.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$129.60
$119.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$13.39May 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.25May 3, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.83May 3, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$20.00May 3, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?$20.00May 3, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $7.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 110 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".