Nonstop-Invention
0x8b5014bbfc9469285a5e5dad8c0243129a084638
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$910.83
Total PnL
$-372.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
333 shares @ 96.3¢·now 91.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$304.00
$-16.96
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
297 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$294.18
$2.62
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
100 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$100.00
$4.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$100.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$98.65
$0.75
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
14 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$14.00
$0.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
528 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?
400 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$30.97May 9, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$13.92May 9, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$34.07May 9, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$95.00May 9, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$96.50May 3, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$98.10May 2, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$49.92May 2, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$46.99May 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$0.99May 2, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$96.00May 2, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$193.91May 2, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$193.59May 2, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$65.02Feb 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$500.00Feb 14, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$320.63Feb 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$33.16Feb 9, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$887.44Feb 5, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$60.76Feb 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 17?$96.00Feb 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$690.33Feb 5, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $172.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".