Shocked-Brink
0x8b881cf08d3a53d3711d7ea85783b94738e55f5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$49.1K
Total PnL
$-58.9K
Realised
$542.97
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
32971 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.8K
$1.8K
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5835 shares @ 72.1¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.1K
$-95.00
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
4220 shares @ 87.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.8K
$82.59
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
3619 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.6K
$84.47
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
3279 shares @ 61.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$770.56
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
3568 shares @ 87.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$-359.64
- NO
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
2295 shares @ 93.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.2K
$43.14
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
1243 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$975.50
$18.64
- NO
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
103 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.30
$5.32
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
65880 shares @ 93.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.8K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.41May 18, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.31May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$956.86May 17, 12:37 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.1KMay 17, 08:09 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.1KMay 17, 08:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.41May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$6.1KMay 16, 07:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.41May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.41May 15, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.12May 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.41May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$4.24May 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$9.86May 13, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$158.14May 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$130.61May 13, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.0KMay 13, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.0KMay 13, 02:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.41May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$2.0KMay 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$2.0KMay 12, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $863.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".