Grounded-Halibut
0x8b9e534054dfc23bbfaa32afadb7b389049e6838
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-767.30
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?
4013 shares @ 45.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$2.4K
$577.89
- NO
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
2195 shares @ 25.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$406.16
$-146.84
- YES
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
381 shares @ 52.5¢·now 46.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$175.30
$-24.70
- YES
Will Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
305 shares @ 52.4¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$141.97
$-18.03
- NO
Will Tino Livramento be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
304 shares @ 49.3¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$130.72
$-19.28
- NO
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
136 shares @ 95.5¢·now 92.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$125.74
$-4.26
- YES
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
52 shares @ 37.7¢·now 47.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.58
$5.08
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6972 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.40
$-75.59
- YES
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?
54 shares @ 39.8¢·now 45.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$24.28
$2.81
- NO
Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$14.06
$-35.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$304.56May 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$101.70May 17, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$101.65May 17, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$101.66May 17, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.0KMay 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$101.71May 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$101.77May 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$10.18May 17, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$50.68May 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.14May 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcos Senesi be included in Argentina's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$101.46May 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$23.52May 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.23May 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-17?$455.53May 17, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$40.99May 17, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-17?$168.09May 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.22May 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.22May 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.22May 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.22May 15, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $382.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".