Moist-Order
0x8bc84fc35f5555d5396f433937abb7ed6e4597dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$401.21
Realised
$387.91
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1750 shares @ 92.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-5.48
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1339 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$4.08
- YES
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?
93 shares @ 82.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$91.52
$14.83
- NO
Japanese parliament dissolved in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$25.83May 18, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$78.28May 18, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$363.38May 18, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$466.50May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$458.30May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$321.50May 18, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$8.98May 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$62.93May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$355.68May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$493.50May 18, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$352.99May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$10.31May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$44.28May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$313.49May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$80.91May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$3.92May 18, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$351.56May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$10.27May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$44.19May 18, 02:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $176.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 08:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".