Pleasing-Arm
0x8bcb2241bd3368fb075d483b033faf4b7c5448ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$157.20
Total PnL
$87.66
Realised
$2.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
40 shares @ 1.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$38.40
$37.92
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
40 shares @ 4.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$35.00
$33.22
- YES
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$22.05
$21.24
- YES
Will Martin Lidegaard be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
5291 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$21.17
$12.82
- YES
Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
4919 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$12.30
$3.92
- YES
Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
5291 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$7.94
$-0.41
- YES
Will Cho Eung-chun win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.60
$2.79
- YES
Will Inger Støjberg be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
5291 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.65
$-5.70
- YES
Will Pelle Dragsted be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
5291 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.65
$-5.70
- YES
Will Pia Olsen Dyhr be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
5091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.55
$-5.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$0.00May 9, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.02Apr 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.01Apr 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.02Apr 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.04Apr 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.01Apr 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.01Apr 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.03Apr 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.02Apr 26, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Matjaž Han be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$0.00Apr 26, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".