Live-Prior
0x8bd604030967e786fe3a06644770d67e89fc36d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$32.47
Total PnL
$-0.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 95.3¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.82
$0.82
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.32
$-1.18
- NO
Elon Bull Run Parlay
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.32
$0.32
- NO
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.91
$0.41
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.71
$0.21
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
3 shares @ 48.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.52
$0.02
- NO
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.28
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.01May 5, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.00May 5, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.00May 5, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.01May 5, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.00May 5, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.00May 5, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.00May 5, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.02May 5, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.01May 5, 17:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.00May 5, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.00May 4, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.00May 4, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.01May 4, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.51May 4, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.20May 3, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.03May 3, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.57May 3, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares election interference national emergency? $1.59May 3, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.01May 1, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner$0.00May 1, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".