Expensive-Ascend
0x8be008467cf6b3409cf135f04fe4c684570077a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$50.76
Total PnL
$-0.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.30
$4.30
- NO
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
13 shares @ 61.4¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.26
$1.26
- NO
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.25
$-0.25
- NO
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.08
$1.08
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$3.35
$-1.65
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAndy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?$5.11May 16, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$4.00May 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$8.00May 15, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$5.12May 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$15.31May 15, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$9.67May 15, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$6.50May 13, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$5.13May 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?$8.00May 12, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00May 12, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $8.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 05:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".