0x8bf225f47927680b81fcc2856915e3ce3fa40d85
0x8bf225f47927680b81fcc2856915e3ce3fa40d85
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$218.88
Total PnL
$-203.64
Realised
$35.01
Win rate
100%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
39 shares @ 48.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.10
$0.55
- YES
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 28.7¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$-0.62
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.21
$0.21
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.19
$0.20
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 43.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
28 shares @ 10.6¢·now 11.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.11
$0.09
- YES
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
15 shares @ 15.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.07
$0.82
- NO
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$1.28May 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?$1.04May 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?$0.93May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?$0.96May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLHarris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$0.28May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADESELLHarris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$0.28May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027?$3.37May 18, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?$1.04May 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?$1.54May 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$3.00May 17, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$1.76May 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$1.70May 17, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?$3.03May 17, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?$2.39May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?$2.24May 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?$3.00May 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?$3.00May 16, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.00May 16, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?$1.65May 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?$3.97May 16, 15:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".